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News
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First Nowcast of Growth in June Quarter 2026 is 0.2%
The Melbourne Institute anticipates that the Australian economic growth in the June quarter is likely to be weak (0.2 per cent). This corresponds to year-ended growth decreasing considerably to be 1.7 per cent.
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Per-capita recession likely — too early to call
The effects of the conflict in the Middle East may be more pronounced in the June quarter, although a considerable amount of uncertainty exists.
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Indexes again signal weakening growth prospects across the states
The latest Melbourne Institute State Leading Indexes of Economic Activity indicate below-trend growth in NSW, VIC, SA and WA over the coming three to nine months but above-trend growth in QLD and TAS.
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Australia’s cost-of-living super squeeze
Australians are being squeezed on all sides. Paul Bloxham has referred to this as a “super-squeeze” and Sam Tsiaplis has noted that people have higher inflation expectations now than they did during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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RBA in ‘pause mode’, expected to keep rates unchanged
The Reserve Bank of Australia’s Monetary Policy Board is expected to hold the policy interest rate unchanged today, as they wait to see the full impact of previous decisions.
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The price of power: Electricity pricing for a cleaner and fairer energy future
Presented on Tuesday 2 June 2026 at the University of Melbourne, the 2026 Downing Public Lecture features Professor Meredith Fowlie (UC Berkeley) examining the critical role of electricity pricing in shaping a cleaner and more equitable energy future.
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Consumer inflation expectations fell in June
The expected inflation rate (30-per-cent trimmed mean measure) fell by 0.1 percentage points in June to 5.5 per cent.
