Consumer inflation expectations decline in November

The expected inflation rate (30-per-cent trimmed mean measure) fell by 0.3 percentage points in November to 4.5 per cent. Inflation expectations fell in November, following a period of rising expectations. Despite the fall, sharp month to month changes continue to suggest heightened consumer disagreement about the short-term path of inflation. In contrast to lower expected inflation, expected wage growth rose for a second consecutive month in November.

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Next release: 11 am (AEDT), Thursday 18 December 2025


The Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflationary Expectations measures are designed to represent the average householder’s expected rate of consumer price changes over the coming 12 months.

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Asociate Professor Sam Tsiaplias

stsiaplias@unimelb.edu.au

03 9035 3353

  • SURVEY OF CONSUMER INFLATIONARY AND WAGE EXPECTATIONS