Consumer inflation expectations higher in September

The expected inflation rate (30-per-cent trimmed mean measure) rose by 0.8 percentage points in September to 4.7 per cent. This follows last month’s decline of 0.8 percentage points. Expected wage growth fell slightly in September and remains relatively weak.

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The August 2025 Survey of Consumer Inflationary and Wage Expectations was released at 11 am (AEST), Thursday 11 September 2025. The October 2025 Survey of Consumer Inflationary and Wage Expectations will be released at 11 am (AEDT), Thursday 9 October 2025.

The Melbourne Institute Survey of Consumer Inflationary Expectations measures are designed to represent the average householder’s expected rate of consumer price changes over the coming 12 months. Further information can be found here.

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Asociate Professor Sam Tsiaplias

stsiaplias@unimelb.edu.au

03 9035 3353

  • SURVEY OF CONSUMER INFLATIONARY AND WAGE EXPECTATIONS