Innovation, technological conditions and new firm survival

Melbourne Institute Working Paper No. 26/06

Date: November 2006


Paul H. Jensen
Elizabeth Webster
Hielke Buddelmeyer


High neo-natal mortality is one of the most salient ‘facts’ about firm performance in the industrial organization literature. We model firm survival and examine the relative influence of firm, industry and macroeconomic factors on survival for new vis-à-vis incumbent firms. In particular, we focus on how the intensity of innovation in each industry affects firm survival. Our results imply that while new firms, compared with incumbent firms, thrive in risky and innovative industries, they are also more susceptible to business cycle effects such as changes in the rate of growth of aggregate demand, interest rates and the availability of equity finance.

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